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Epstein
Trump Cabinet
Gov Shutdown
F
Fed Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
B
Brazil Presidential Election
L
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
5
6
%
56%
F
Flávio Bolsonaro
4
1
%
41%
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J
J.D. Vance
4
9
%
49%
M
Marco Rubio
1
7
%
17%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 31
<1%
N
Next French Presidential Election
M
Marine Le Pen
3
3
%
33%
É
Édouard Philippe
2
6
%
26%
E
Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
100-119
<1%
120-139
5
%
5%
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 31
1
%
1%
September 7
5
%
5%
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028
J
JD Vance
2
5
%
25%
J
Jon Ossoff
1
1
%
11%
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
August 31
<1%
September 15
2
%
2%
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
A
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1
8
%
18%
J
Jon Ossoff
1
6
%
16%
E
Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026?
<40
1
5
%
15%
40-64
6
9
%
69%
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
J
Jon Rahm
4
2
%
42%
V
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
4
0
%
40%
W
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
U
United Russia (ER)
7
3
%
73%
N
New People (NL)
2
0
%
20%
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
5
0
%
50%
D Senate, R House
1
%
1%
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
F
Flávio Bolsonaro
8
5
%
85%
L
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1
3
%
13%
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
September 30
1
%
1%
December 31
4
%
4%
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 31
9
9
%
99%
September 15
9
0
%
90%
E
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
G
Gadi Eizenkot
5
0
%
50%
B
Benjamin Netanyahu
3
2
%
32%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
T
Trump out as President by August 31?
Yes
<1%
No
1
0
0
%
100%
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%